Repository of Research and Investigative Information

Repository of Research and Investigative Information

Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences

The Trend of Prehospital Emergency Medical Care Services after the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Time Series Analysis

(2025) The Trend of Prehospital Emergency Medical Care Services after the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Time Series Analysis. Open Public Health Journal. ISSN 18749445

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Abstract

Introduction: The COVID-19 epidemic in 2019 directly or indirectly had an impact on the healthcare system of hospitals. Iran was among the countries whose hospitals and especially the emergency system were affected by the outbreak of Coronavirus. The main objective of this study is to compare the number of emergency services, including heart and respiratory diseases, accidents, drowning, and CO poisoning, after the coronavirus pandemic in Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari provinces. Methods: In this study, after obtaining the necessary permissions, an attempt was made to analyze the data on the most common Emergency Medical Services (EMS) extracted monthly by the city from the ASAYAR system during 2020-2023 using time series and Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. Results: The number of emergency services related to accidents had an upward trend and was based on seasonal changes. Examination of seasonal effects shows that most emergency services occurred in the months of June through September; the number of emergency services related to heart disease was relatively constant. In addition, the number of emergency services related to respiratory diseases was constant on average despite many fluctuations in the observations. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of interventions and emergency calls increased. Conclusion: Therefore, emergency services should increase their response capacity in these cases by modifying their programs and approaches, increasing response capacity and the number of staff, and providing appropriate training. © 2025 The Author(s). Published by Bentham Open.

Item Type: Article
Keywords: Article; carbon monoxide intoxication; coronavirus disease 2019; emergency care; forecasting; human; pandemic; respiratory tract disease; seasonal variation; time series analysis; traffic accident; trend study
Divisions: Education Vice-Chancellor Department > Faculty of Medicine > Departments of Clinical Sciences > Department of Emergency medicine
Journal or Publication Title: Open Public Health Journal
Journal Index: Scopus
Volume: 18
Publisher: Bentham Science Publishers
Identification Number: https://doi.org/10.2174/0118749445371683250113064610
ISSN: 18749445
Depositing User: dr mehdi mokhtari
URI: http://eprints.ssu.ac.ir/id/eprint/34806

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